In the sports section of the Tennessean today there was an article from the AP about the implausibility of this year’s NCAA basketball tournament Final Four. They noted that out of 3 million entrants to ESPN’s bracket-picking contest, there were only four entries that correctly picked LSU, Florida, UCLA and Geroge Mason as the semifinalists.
Then they quoted Mike Breen, a mathematician at the American Mathematical Society. (Who?) Breen “said that the chances that a player correctly picked the Final Four in ESPN.com’s contest were about 1 in 750,000.”
Hmmm…1/750,000=4/3,000,000. Now I’m just a humble history major, but even I can do that math!
So they’re either stating the most obvious fact ever or they’re using past events to justify made-up statistics. I’m applying for membership in the American Mathematical Society or the Derek Zoolander Center For Children Who Can’t Read Good And Wanna Learn To Do Other Stuff Good Too.